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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis

SOXX 314.52

-0.6%

Dec 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: robert b furman who wrote (55353)	1/30/2012 8:52:30 PM
From: Woody_Nickels	2 Recommendations Read Replies (2) of 95573

On the optimistic side. we have been in an extended downtrend since Y2K and are 11+ years into a secular bear market, with several more years before full recovery. On the pessimistic side, the 2008 RE and Bank crashes are the start of a new secular bear market, and we have 15 or more years of under performance before full recovery. The 2012 election might begin to turn the tide for the optimist case. If you look at the long term market charts, a new bull cycle is due to start in the second half of this decade, iirc. There is no reason money can't be made in bear market rallies, or with long puts, or short calls. Just be careful. fwiw Woody

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