Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives

SPY 686.19

-0.5%

Feb 4 4:00 PM EST

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (28841)	2/1/2012 3:27:39 PM
From: llap	Read Replies (1) of 222924

IMO the FED has much less control on the long end of the yield curve than the short end. The primary driver for treasury buying is the world-wide panic (Euro crisis, China slowdown, you name it). Once people realize it's not the end of the world and foreigners realizing losses on the US$ exchange rate this will turn. However, if history is any guide the rate upswing is moderate. Look around the 1946 treasury yield bottom, it was pretty slow until past 1950, then we got a first thrust up. Unless 2008 was the low on the long end, then we could move up quite a bit soon... It's 4 years past 2008 now...

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