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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: carranza2 who wrote (469540)2/2/2012 11:18:25 PM
From: Big Black Swan8 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 794002
 
Neither Saudi Arabia, Egypt or Turkey seem to have the expansionist policies that IRAN does, thus they do not need nukes.

But that's not what history shows. History shows you get nukes when your enemy gets nukes ...

China has never been particularly expansionist. But they got nukes because their enemies (the US and Soviet Union had them). India isn't expansionist, but if China (it's enemy) had them, then it had to get them as well. Pakistan couldn't abide by enemy Indian nukes, so it got nukes too. Even France got them - because hey, we're French and if the Americans have nukes we deserve them too.

Iran is Saudi Arabia's greatest historic enemy.

And Saudi Arabia has *publicly* stated they will get nukes if Iran gets them:

alarabiya.net

That's about as explicit as you can get.

Yes, Israel has done a great covert job on Iran's program - pushing it back time and again. But still Iran has made progress and now they're nearing the point of no return.

One "nice" thing about this debate is that it will be resolved soon by actual developments. Either Iran will get attacked in the next 12 months or it won't. My bet is that it will, because Israel see's no other choice.

But maybe I'm wrong - we shall see. Either way it should be educational.
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