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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: Alex who wrote (13111)2/9/2012 4:15:14 AM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) of 33421
 
Rates as of Jan of 2015........... I would think they would be substantially higher. We are having a record amount of debt contraction due to deleveraging which is asset contracting in nature, and concomitant to that we have a record amount of debt creation.

When you are playing in a minefield that is without previous example, coupled with the quick response of the financial markets and monetary authorities to make mid course adjustments......... It's Largely a matter of conjecture and having the best incantations in your trading circle.

We have all discussed the deflationary apects of the great deleveraging, or working down of debt in all segments of the financial system and it would appear to be a demonstrated fact that without these history low global yield curve we would have hyperinflated away into oblivion if not for couterbalancing impact of debtlation.

Do you think Germany will pay a negative yield on their bunds for very long?

John
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