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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 316.33+1.3%Dec 10 4:00 PM EST

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To: pcyhuang who wrote (53234)2/9/2012 8:22:30 AM
From: pcyhuang2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 95558
 
What Are the Industrials and Transports Suggesting?

After a 100 point up move in the SOX since our pick of its bottom in Aug. 2011 , it is particularly relevant to take a close notice of the following article:

What Are the Industrials and Transports Suggesting?

By Barry Ritholtz - February 8th, 2012, 7:00AM

Dow Theory — a study of the relationship between the Industrials and the Transports — are suggesting a potential inflection point is nearing.

A move above 12,900 in the Dow Industrials would surpass the April 2011 highs, and the bulls would like to see that confirmed by the Trannies getting over 5630.

As we see from the indices via The Chart Store below, both the Industrials & Trannies are on the verge of that breakout. Just note that Classic Technical analysis requires you wait for the breakout/breakdown confirmation, rather than anticipate it.

Caveat: I am not a Dow Theorist, and this is a grossly oversimplified explanation. For more details, Wikipedia has an excellent primer on the major tenets of Dow Theory. Or check out Richard Russell’s The History of the Dow Theory.

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Click to enlarge:


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Source: The Chart Store
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