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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: paulelgin who wrote (46810)2/29/2012 11:57:08 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris   of 78670
 
FSLR - Well, it's losing money and it's not clear that will turn around soon. OCF is negative, FCF is horribly negative. Maybe they can stop cash bleeding by not spending on PPE, I don't know. P/S is around 1 if sales don't drop. P/B is 0.76. Book is about 3.6B. About 100M more cash than debt. About 850M A/R, 500M inventories. That's not good. Lots of stuff to write down if they don't come through.

Macro-wise I am concerned about the glut of nat gas which is pushing electricity rates down. This might not be true in Europe, but Europe has its own issues.

Overall, I'd say to buy FSLR, you have to believe in solar and you have to believe in the company. If solar and company turns up again, the stock will rocket back to $100+. If solar and/or company freezes, it could get worse.

I think I will skip it for now. Keep us posted though.
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