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Strategies & Market Trends : BAK - Investing

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To: Covenant who wrote (421)3/3/2012 10:03:06 AM
From: zZebraa  Read Replies (1) of 3249
 
Re: Argentina 
Over the last two years, Fernandez's government has resorted to paying private
creditors with central bank reserves left over after what the bank needs
to back up cash in the economy. Those excess reserves have shrunk to near zero
, prompting Fernandez to request a change in the "convertibility" law.
"We have to know that the central bank is functioning for the good of the real
economy," the charismatic 59-year-old leader said during the speech.
The bank has about $46.9 billion in total foreign currency reserves.
"This is a negative development," said Alberto Ramos, co-head of Latin America
research at Goldman Sachs, who pointed out the risk that the new policy could
stoke already high inflation.
"Reserve transfers to the Treasury are debasing the balance sheet of the central
bank and contributing to financing an admittedly expansionary and pro-cyclical
fiscal stance, which jointly with an extraordinarily accommodative monetary stance,
continues to stoke high inflationary pressures," he said.
Fernandez, beloved by voters who benefit from her generous welfare spending,
won a second term last year despite rankling Wall Street with policies such as
raiding central bank reserves and publishing official economic data widely
seen as unreliable. "Today's announcement shows Argentina has very weak resolve
in terms of fighting inflation," said Boris Segura, who covers the country for
Nomura Securities. "Over time this is going to make people less comfortable
holding Argentine pesos."
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