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Strategies & Market Trends : Bosco & Crossy's stock picks,talk area

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To: LoneClone who wrote (37060)3/14/2012 12:16:04 PM
From: LoneClone1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 37387
 
CREDIT SUISSE: Reiterate Outperform and target price of $26,50 CAD ... Jury Is Still Out at Bua Ban South

¦

Oligocene Hits: The company announced successful exploration results in

the Lower Oligocene at Bua Ban South. The G-01 well hit 88 feet of net pay

with 12% porosity. Pressure data suggests that this accumulation in the

Oligocene is a different pool than the one found at Bua Ban Main. While

these initial exploration results are positive, we do not attribute substantial

value to it at this juncture. We also believe that the market will likely have a

greater response to the absence of the Miocene thus far at Bua Ban South.

¦

Miocene Absent…for Now: The first well at Bua Ban South did not

encounter the Lower Miocene in this particular fault block, but the next two

exploration wells will target adjacent fault blocks for the Miocene. We

currently believe the jury is still out on the Miocene at Bua Ban South but

note the market could assume a skeptical position before further results are

available.

¦

More Fuel in the Tank: With much near-term focus on Bua Ban South, one

could lose sight of all the other potential exploration resources yet to be

drilled. Beyond Bua Ban South, there are currently still approximately 157

mmbbls in un-risked P50 recoverable resources to be targeted. This number

could further expand on the back of the company’s 3D seismic acquisition

program this year. We believe that past Bua Ban South, the company’s

exploration focus would likely turn towards Bua Ban North Terrace.

¦

Recommendation: Although the absence of the Miocene thus far at Bua

Ban South is disappointing, we believe the final verdict has yet to come with

more exploration wells to be drilled. At current prices we believe the

company’s identified 2P recoverable volumes to be somewhat discounted

while the exploration upside comes for free. We reiterate our Outperform


rating and target price of C$26.50.

Posted by Scam on IH
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