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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 316.33+1.3%Dec 10 4:00 PM EST
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To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (55861)3/31/2012 4:49:59 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 95559
 
Best Stock Market Indicator Ever: Weekly Update

By John F. Carlucci
March 31, 2012

advisorperspectives.com

The $OEXA200R (the percentage of S&P 100 stocks above their 200 DMA) is a technical indicator available on StockCharts.com that can be used to forecast conservative entry and exit points for the stock market.

The OEXA is used to find the "sweet spot" time period in the market when you have the best chance of making money. See Is This the Best Stock Market Indicator Ever? for a discussion of this technical tool.

The chart below is current through the March 30 close.


After a major S&P correction, the conditions for safe re-entry into the market are when:

a) $OEXA200R rises above 65%. And two of the following three also occur: b) RSI rises over 50.
c) MACD cross (black line rises above red line).
d) Slow STO (black line) rises over 50. Interpretation:

The OEXA200R closed out the week at 86%.

Of the three secondary indicators:

  • RSI is above 50 and positive.
  • MACD has crossed and is positive.
  • Slow STO is above 50 and is positive.
Commentary

The OEXA200R pretty much took the week off, finishing exactly where it started at 86%. It remains in healthy, tradable territory.
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