Richard,
I'm not sure, but it sounds like you're turning bearish. Just a few comments on the points you raised in your last post...
1. "No income" will not become the new model. However, for diseases which have no effective treatment, the FDA may allow the company to give the drug away prior to its approval. This is good for the patients, and good for the company since they get good publicity and can test out their drug. Don't forget how powerful that "AIDS-patient lobby" is out there. Never before in the history of pharmaceutical developmenmt has there been such a vocal, political group of patients. They are helping to push FDA reform, which is making it easier and quicker for drug companies to get their product approved.
2. The allergic response seen in one patient out of 7 in the cancer trials for PN27,1 is not significant IMO. They didn't say how severe the response was, and they didn't mention if there were antibodies formed, and if so, whether they were neutralizing. Considering the absolutely horrible effects of other popular cancer drugs and treatments (i.e., chemo and radiotherapy), a little allergic response doesn't seem all that bad.
3. PRLN is not a "Johnny come lately" with "another drug" therapy. If have been following many, many biotechs, and Paracelsian is the most unusual company I have seen (I guess this can be good or bad). The compounds they are studying are unusual, their approach is unusual, and even their strategy (i.e., selling PN355,1 as a dietary suppliment) is unique.
As for the current stock price, hovering around $3? I, and my broker, do not know. Perhaps it is simply part of the ebb and flow of the stock market. Notice that when the market looked weak, PRLN looked strong, and now the reverse is true. I would only get concerned if the price dove on a large volume, and even then I probably would not sell. This WOULD be a good time for another of those 15-20 press releases to come out!
Rick |