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Technology Stocks : TEAL

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To: Alan Edgett who wrote (54)11/24/1997 8:48:00 PM
From: Tom Hua  Read Replies (1) of 160
 
Edge, Analysts were expecting revenue between 6.5 to 7 MM and a small profit for the 9/30 quarter. Stock was trading around $8 at the time. Then came the warning on Oct 2 and TEAL dropped to ~$5. Tax loss selling further cut the stock in half to the current level which is below cash value . Given the fact that present depressed stock price has factored in very low WS expectations, it's hard to see TEAL trading much lower. In addition we're near the end of Nov so I also suspect that a majority of tax loss selling has occurred because these people are likely to buy back the shares in early Jan for two reasons: (1) in anticipation of a better quarter than the last one, and (2) historically, small cap stocks have outperformed large cap stocks 3 to 1 in January.

I decided to buy in today.

Regards,

Tom
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