Dick Morris: Obama Will Lose Big
Posted on May 2, 2012 by Conservative Byte
MORRIS: Obama is digging himself into a gigantic hole here. For the last four or five or six weeks, maybe the last two or three months, this class warfare, such an obvious distortion of the negative as this, his trying to divide the country along ethnic lines as well. I know that he’s paying a price for it. In the polling that I’ve seen, Obama’s personal positives were always about 20 points higher than his job approval. In the polling I’ve seen lately, they’re even. In other words, his approval has always been in the mid- or low forties. Now his personal favorability has dropped to that. I think that the hope and change in the public’s mind has been replaced with a nasty surly visceral figure.
RUSH: Whoa! Dick Morris: Class warfare, not working. But he wasn’t finished. Hannity then said, “When you look at Karl Rove’s electoral map, it becomes more difficult for Romney. That has some people I know concerned,” ’cause Karl Rove’s electoral map right now has Obama almost insurmountably ahead in the Electoral College. So Hannity’s asking Morris about that. “Does that concern you, Dick? The electoral map? Or is this the type of thing that it’s way too early to tell?”
MORRIS: I went back to 1964, and I tested how every incumbent president polls on Election Day as opposed to the final Gallup poll. I found that six of the eight not only didn’t get a single undecided vote, they lost some of the support that the last poll gave them. So when I see a poll that shows Romney ahead of Obama by 47-46, which I think is the last Rasmussen poll, as far as I’m concerned, that is a 54-46 defeat for Obama, and more likely, a 55-45 defeat. |
