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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: JohnM who wrote (188970)5/11/2012 10:45:52 AM
From: Steve Lokness  Read Replies (2) of 542007
 
Interesting piece by Krugman, thanks for posting John.

For Krugman to argue that "job losses since the crisis began haven't been in industries that arguably got too big in the bubble years" and include housing in this list is just, .......well nuts. Housing starts that were running at 1.5 million in 2007 fell to less than 500K by early 2009. To think you can cut housing by a million units when the total is only 1.5 million and that not have a HUGE impact on unemployment numbers is just .....well nuts! The thing with housing John is that it effects so many other industries. Every item going into a house is manufactured generally in this country and the multiplier effect is huge. But the housing issue doesn't end there; houses because of their inflated value also became "private" banks where people could dip in to what they thought was their saving account and then use that money to buy other items - maybe a new yacht or hot tub or new addition on their home. (That new addition is NOT a housing start). So when that all came crashing down people lost their jobs by the millions. That is NOT coming back anytime soon - and all the stimulating in the world to try to get it to return is silly. Why? Demand. We built too many homes and now must work through the decades worth of inventory. Krugman is dead wrong on this thinking here and because he is it throws his entire ideology into question.

What did Roosevelt do?



ycharts.com

<<<<<article by Raghuram Rajan of the University of Chicago asserts that the problem is the need to move workers out of the “bloated” housing, finance and government sectors.Actually, government employment per capita has been more or less flat for decades, but never mind — the main point is that contrary to what such stories suggest, job losses since the crisis began haven’t mainly been in industries that arguably got too big in the bubble years. >>>>>
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