Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
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Sunday, May 27, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney and President Obama tied with each candidate attracting 45% support. Five percent (5%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another five percent (5%) are undecided.
Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
The candidates have been within two points of each other on 12 of the last 13 days. Obama has led on six of those 13 days, Romney on six, and they have been tied once. See tracking history.
Check out our review of last week’s key polls to see “What They Told Us.”
Seventy-two percent (72%) of American Adults think health insurance companies should be allowed to offer discounts to non-smokers. Sixty-three percent (63%) also believe insurance discounts should be allowed for those who exercise regularly, and 54% say the same for adults who eat a healthier diet.
(President Obama’s Job Approval Ratings Below)
A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) at least somewhat disapprove ( see trends).
More than 40 Catholic organizations have filed a lawsuit against the president’s health care law. Most voters (51%) believe the religious groups should not be forced to provide services that violate their religious beliefs. Thirty-six percent (36%) take the opposite view.
In his weekly syndicated column, Scott Rasmussen notes that politicians talking about "austerity" in budgets is just political cover for more government spending. But, he argues, “cutting government spending is seen by voters as a way to free more resources for the private sector. In other words, austerity for the government leads to prosperity for the nation.”
If you’d like Scott Rasmussen to speak to your organization, meeting, or conference, please contact Premiere Speakers. The Wall Street Journal has called him “America’s leading insurgent pollster,” and The Washington Post says Scott is a “driving force in American politics.”
To get a sense of longer-term Job Approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports also compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.
(Daily Approval Index Updates Below)
Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -13 ( see trends).
During midterm elections, intensity of support can have a tremendous impact on turnout. That was demonstrated in 2010 when Republicans and unaffiliated voters turned out in large numbers to express opposition to the Obama administration’s policies. However, in presidential election years, there is a smaller impact on turnout.
(More Below)
Rasmussen Reports is a media company whose work is followed by millions on a wide variety of platforms. We regularly release our results at RasmussenReports.com, through a daily email newsletter, a nationally syndicated radio news service, an online video service and a weekly newspaper column distributed by Creators Syndicate. A nationally syndicated TV show-- What America Thinks--is scheduled for launch in September 2012.
Our firm has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology ( see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our " unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy."
During Election 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama was 53% to 46%. In 2004, Rasmussen Reports was the only firm to project the vote totals for both candidates within half a percentage point. Learn more about the Rasmussen Reports track record over the years.
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members. |
