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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: John Pitera who wrote (13169)6/1/2012 6:10:20 AM
From: John Pitera5 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 33421
 
10 year yields crashing through the Panic 2009 lows, down as low as 1,53% and closing at 1.58%. and German 10 years Bunds trading below 1.25% in yield. interesting item crude has been in free fall recently at 86, there is support at 78%, about 14% from here. Copper has been down hard has 14% more to go to reach last years low. The Russell 2000 also had about 14% more to decline to hit a support zone that provided several bottoms last year.

The world bank president is commenting that the summer of 2012 is providing an "eerie echo" of the pre Lehman panic of 2008. It certainly feels like it. Obviously the Euro has fallen almost 10 big figures since the start of May. Spain is proving to be a supreme cause for concern as the banks and the soverign debt is under tremendous pressure.

The Chinese economic numbers are pointiing to the biggest slowdown in over a decade, as there is some talk of them providing some easing. The US PMI numbers are weakening and I suspect that the unemployment number is going to show less that 100,000 new jobs created, which is the number the market was looking for.

The Bond market has become dsyfunctional. John Mauldin's concept of the "Endgame" appears to continue to play out.

as quoted from today's bloomberg:

"German Chancellor Angela Merkel was besieged by critics for letting the euro crisis smolder, with the leaders of Italy and the European Central Bank demanding bolder steps to stabilize the 17-nation economy.

Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti and ECB President Mario Draghi pushed Germany to give up its opposition to direct euro- area aid for struggling banks. Monti further antagonized Germany by urging a roadmap to common borrowing. Calling himself a devotee of German-style budgetary rigor, Monti told a Brussels conference yesterday that Merkel’s vision of a stable economy “risks being undermined because of lack of promptness in setting up the necessary instruments to limit the contagion.”

Financial markets offered a snapshot of Europe’s stresses after more than two years of crisis, with the euro close to its weakest in two years against the dollar. German two-year note yields fell below zero today as investors paid for shelter from the market mayhem afflicting Italy and Spain.

Draghi told a European Parliament committee in Brussels that without more aggressive action by policy makers the euro “is being shown now to be unsustainable unless further steps are being undertaken.”

the Facebook debacle and the additional turbulence has frozen the IPO market.

It's not looking good out there in market land. It truly feels very unstable.

John
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