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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives
SPY 695.420.0%Jan 28 4:00 PM EST

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (32966)6/1/2012 8:20:51 AM
From: penthouse mike  Read Replies (1) of 222570
 
GZ,

I analyzed your original post trading record from your model and noticed an interesting pattern and wondered if it was just an anomaly or holds true over your 10+ years of trading the model.

I noticed that the model had six cases over the past 2 years when it had 3 straight signal reversals with each lasting a day or less, like we just had happen. In all six cases, this pattern was resolved with a good sized winning trade. In one case, the signal reversals lasted for 5 signals and then moved 81 S&P points on your next signal, in 2 cases, the signal reversals lasted 4 signals and then moved 33 and 118 S&P points respectively.

In the last 3 cases, after 3 signal reversals, your next signal moved 35, 43, and 33 points. I like this track record on this pattern if it is not an anomaly. The model did the last 3 signal reversal in 2011. Looking at your 10 years of trading your model, does this pattern hold true?
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