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Pastimes : Philly Sports Thread(except soccer:)

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To: Jerry Held who wrote (2256)

6/11/2012 7:58:55 PM

From: LTK007

of 2749

Read and weep Phils have the WORST situational BA of ANY TEAM in AT LEAST 64 years!!!! Freddy Glavis is by far are best situational hitter.: Jerry this is just plain SHOCKING, in other words we have the worst CHOKE team in at least 64 years.

From Philly.com ; It hardly served as the defining image of another defeat Sunday — Ty Wigginton's botched attempt at fielding a grounder in the 10th inning did that — but Shane Victorino's swing in the first inning was so emblematic of a numbing season that continues to spiral into hopelessness.

These Phillies are historically bad at situational hitting.

When Victorino swung at the second pitch from Jason Hammel and popped it into foul territory behind third base, he failed to score a runner from third base with less than two outs. It was the only such chance of the day.

The Phillies are dead last in baseball with a 38 percent success rate when batting with runners on third and less than two outs. They have batted 117 times with that situation and only 45 have yielded a run in some way, whether it be via a hit, groundout or sacrifice fly.

That is the worst rate for any team since at least 1948.

Baseball Reference keeps play-by-play data from 1948 on and few teams have even come close to the Phillies' futility. Only the 1965 Mets had a rate below 40 percent; they scored 39 percent from third with less than two outs. That team finished 50-112 and only 47 games back.

What does this mean? Of course, the sample size is small. The Phillies have played 62 games. Ultimately, their success rate in those situations should normalize and at least approach the league average. Such a miserable rate through 62 games could implicate bad luck as a factor.

But there is no disputing the Phillies have mostly been terrible in these situations. Think about how many times a runner has stood on third and when all it takes is a medium-sized fly ball or groundout to score him, a Phillies hitter pops out or whiffs.

Here is how each individual player has performed in those situations:

Advances <2,3BScr% ?

Freddy Galvis#	4	3	75%
Pete Orr*	3	2	67%
Carlos Ruiz	12	8	67%
Shane Victorino#	15	8	53%
Hector Luna	2	1	50%
Juan Pierre*	8	3	38%
Ty Wigginton	13	5	38%
Hunter Pence	20	7	35%
Jimmy Rollins#	9	3	33%
Brian Schneider*	3	1	33%
Placido Polanco	4	1	25%
Jim Thome*	4	1	25%
John Mayberry	12	2	17%
Joe Blanton	2	0	0%
Mike Fontenot*	1	0	0%
Roy Halladay	1	0	0%
Cole Hamels*	1	0	0%
Laynce Nix*	3	0	0%
Team Total	117	45	38%

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