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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: E_K_S who wrote (48345)6/20/2012 3:21:52 PM
From: Spekulatius1 Recommendation  Read Replies (7) of 78748
 
WPX is very cheap and has a good balance sheet for a gassy play., trading for ~0.8$mcfe of gas in the ground. They also have somewhat wet gas and a few crude reserves. The question for me though - why bother with NG companies that want to transform themselves into wet (NGL) and oily plays, while the more oily plays like HES, APA, MRO and DVN are already dirt cheap? HES trades for ~10$/BOE (>70% crude and a lot of non US gas) for example. APA just had a very good looking Investors presentation where they make a credible case for high single digit reserve growth without stretching their balance sheet. they have been a very good operator over the years in good and bad times and i would gladly own some at ~80$/share (my target)

I own already enough HES but APA and to a lesser extend DVN look like good plays to me. I sold COP because it did not fall as much, due to it's dividend but trades at a somewhat higher valuation in terms of proved reserves (~20$/brl proved with quite a bit of North American NG)
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