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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc.
AAPL 259.35+0.1%Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: sandeep who wrote (137158)7/6/2012 12:10:59 PM
From: Kelly G.5 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) of 213181
 
Amzn is in the build out phase for its data/fulfillment centers etc. It is better protected against competition than any other "tech" company I know of. So, comparatively astronomical PEs are going to be the norm for AMZN for a while. They can continue to grow for the next 30 years. It is not clear that any tech company can actually do that given the competition.
AMZN has done a good job of becoming the "standard" in online shopping. But, I am not sure how/why it is better protected. There really isn't any innovation to speak of or patent protection. And, a high PE is just a high PE. Were you investing in the 90's when people said that PE's didn't matter any more?

Once other products are good enough, apple's margins are going to shrink. Microsoft's margins are going to shrink and so will google's. That's the threat of 10 inch kindle or a kindle phone. If it is good enough, people might buy it because it can be very attractively priced because AMZN can afford very low margins. Imagine if Apple has to do with 1/2 its current margins. The stock will get crushed.
Apple has a technological edge since they make the completed product. That is what the competition is struggling with and why Google and Softie and have done things to spite their partners. Also, as has been born out recently, Apple has a pretty potent patent arsenal to deal with the copying. Lastly, pundits have been spewing the fact that any day now Apple will have to reduce their margins and then they are finished. In fact, their margins have actually increase over the last few years as they have mastered the production pipeline like no other company. Your opinions are not based on factual assessment.
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