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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs

SPY 692.06

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Feb 10 4:00 PM EST

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To: E_K_S who wrote (48216)	7/8/2012 11:38:36 PM
From: Johnny Canuck	Read Replies (3) of 70664

This is plot of UUP verus the CRBQ, a CRB surrogate. finance.yahoo.com The two only seem weakly corelated. I not sure there is an explicit entry and exit model based on these two. If I understand your premise, alll commodities are denominated in US dollars. When demand for commodities are high the demand for the USD is high. A turn in the USD may indicate a turn in the demand for commodities. I think the new wrinkle in that old model is that the USD is not the strong currency it once was. Structural debt and economic shocks that drive traders back to the Fiat currency despite the fact they do not believe in that it is a holder of value long term are contibuting to the lack of a strong corelation.;

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