Would you be happier if I claimed that every possible problem was a 100% thing that certainly will happen in every case where its possible?
Also while its "might" for each individual at the margin in each case, if there are many people at the margin, its not "might, might, might" that it will happen. Provide negative incentives to enough people and you will get negative results. No "might, might, might" about that. No high degree of specificity either, since "enough" is vague, and how common or bad the negative results are is unspecified, but I can be a bit more specific its a near certainty, about as close to certainty as these things can get, that some people will lose their jobs because of these incentives, and that other people, who are still employed, will do worse from having the insurance rather than some other form of compensation. |
