HEARD ON THE STREET: BofA Trips Itself Up
2:55 PM Eastern Daylight Time Jul 18, 2012
By David Reilly Bank of America took yet another step away from death's doorstep with second-quarter results that showed credit quality improving, expenses falling and improved net profit. But it isn't ready for the Olympics. The bank has yet to convincingly shake worries over the mortgage mess that resulted from its acquisition of Countrywide Financial. Those returned to the fore Wednesday after BofA said demands it repurchase flawed mortgages jumped by more than 40% in the quarter to $22.7 billion. With $15.9 billion set aside for losses from such demands, the bank should be adequately reserved. Given the complexity of the claims, and numerous legal issues around them, it remains difficult for investors to know for sure, though. And despite the spike in claims, the bank's repurchase reserve increased by only $200 million in the quarter. Meanwhile, BofA continues to insist that those demanding it repurchase mortgages will have to show that any breaches in representations and warranties for a loan directly caused a loss and, not, say, the housing meltdown. Yet a New York state judge has rejected that argument. Worries about mortgage exposure feed back into what has been the big question hanging over BofA for more than a year--whether it has enough capital. On this front, the bank has made progress. For example, tangible common equity, a bank's best loss-absorbing buffer, has increased by about 11% the past year. Along with reductions in some assets, this has pushed BofA's tangible equity ratio to 6.83% in the second quarter, up nearly a full percentage point from a year earlier. Yet in its eagerness to banish capital doubts, the bank may have overreached. It declared that its Tier 1 common ratio under new, Basel 3 rules would be 8.1%. This is well above its previously stated, year-end goal of 7.5% and would put it ahead of rivals J.P. Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo. But the way BofA calculated its capital ratio differed from the approach used by the other banks. When questioned on the bank's earnings call, finance chief Bruce Thomson said the other approach would have put the ratio closer to the other banks, which were around 7.9%. BofA also declined to provide an alternative view of the ratio to reflect that regulators may require banks to use two approaches. This would likely lower its ratio further. J.P. Morgan, for example, said its ratio would drop to 7.6% in this scenario. Mr. Thomson said the bank wasn't providing that figure because regulators wouldn't ultimately require it. This implied BofA has unique insight into regulators' thinking. Not surprisingly, that sowed a seed of doubt in investors' minds. It and mortgage worries overshadowed many of the quarter's positive developments, including net profit of $2.46 billion versus a loss of $8.82 billion a year earlier. A bank in show-me mode can't afford such stumbles.
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