Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum

WDC 282.58

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Feb 6 9:30 AM EST

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To: Frodo Baxter who wrote (1653)	11/28/1997 12:35:00 PM
From: William T. Katz	Read Replies (1) of 9256

How inexpensive can NFR drives be made? I'm wondering to what degree they can replace the MR-based ORB drives that look very good (2.1 gb with excellent transfer speeds and < $30 per 2 gb). Before, I had thought that digital VCR would require MPEG-2 encoders under $100, but now I'm slowly revising my thinking based on the huge drop in capacity per dollar in removable media. If NFR can produce 8+ gigabyte drives with inexpensive media, cheap M-JPEG encoders could be used and the digital VCR may be here in force as soon as middle of next year. So the questions I'm trying to answer are: 1) How cheap can NFR drives be? 2) What are the transfer rates? [Doesn't have to be too fast either ... more importantly it just has to have good sustained rates.] 3) How cheap are the media? [Guess it will be manufactured by Imation which is large enough to bring price way down if used in mass market like VHS replacement.] If the media for $20 gb disks costs $25, they would be very cost-comparable to current VHS tapes since a lot of taping could be done on one disk [10+ hours depending on encoding?].

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