There are 85 electoral votes in 6 tossup states.
They are Colorado(9), Florida(29), Iowa(6), Ohio(18), Virginia(13), and Wisconsin(10).
Without an upset in other states Romney/Ryan have to carry Florida to win.
However Romney/Ryan can lose Ohio, but have to carry the remaining 5 swing states.
And if Romney/Ryan fail to carry Colorado and Virginia, the best they can do is a tie.
These are the minimum states to carry for Romney/Ryan to win.
- (276) Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin
- (275) Florida, Colorado, Ohio, Virginia
- (273) Florida, Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, Wisconsin
- (272) Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia
- (272) Florida, Colorado, Ohio, Wisconsin
- (269 Tie) Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin
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