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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 422.21+1.9%Jan 12 4:00 PM EST
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To: elmatador who wrote (93498)8/14/2012 11:06:33 AM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (1) of 219282
 
The critical thing the chart does not show is how the surplus is calculated. A 'surplus can be the result of a couple of things - increased exports in relation to imports or diminished imports with less exports which still exceed imports. The chart does not say which applies. In the past, we could easily and correctly assume that the export part of the equation accounted for most of the surplus. Because of the lack of growth in Europe and elsewhere, which has undoubtedly affected Chinese exports, I am not so sure that assumption is viable anymore.

I am not sure what to make of the 'capital flow' part of the chart.

The forex purchases might suggest that exports are down and that the trade surplus is accounted for by fewer imports, not by increased exports.

Chicken guts, basically, but interesting chicken guts.
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