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Politics : Mainstream Politics and Economics
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To: longnshort who wrote (24553)8/23/2012 8:23:15 PM
From: Brumar89  Read Replies (1) of 85487
 
... Looking at per capita income and state and national unemployment rates, the study’s authors conclude that Obama’s incumbency advantage is offset by stubbornly high unemployment — and that other factors, like the home state of the top candidates, support from swing state governors and the locations of the party conventions, don’t mean much at the end of the day. According to Bickers, election prediction models “suggest that presidential elections are about big things and the stewardship of the national economy. It’s not about gaffes, political commercials or day-to-day campaign tactics.”
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