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Politics : President Barack Obama

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To: ChinuSFO who wrote (119424)8/29/2012 3:32:03 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) of 149317
 
Me too. As RW said, I think we might want to seriously think about going over the fiscal cliff without renewing the Bush Tax Cuts, especially for families making more than $500K/yr.

Anyway, here's some food for thought. Right now, Obama is in the lead, as you can see here, but barely:
gallup.com

Really, it's a statistical tie, since the difference is within the margin of error. For Obama to lose, Romney would have to win the following states in addition to the ones the Electoral Vote says he's already going to win:
electoral-vote.com
* Colorado - strong GOP history, but Obama won it somehow; Romney needs to win this one back
* Iowa or Nevada - he needs to win one of these; both are a tossup and could go either way
* Wisconsin - may be able to win it with Paul Ryan's influence
* Florida - has a strong GOP history, the National Convention was held in Tampa, and Rubio is very popular and a GOP stumper for Romney; so Romney may pull this one off
* Virgina - very strong GOP history, but Obama won it somehow; Romney needs to win this one back
* North Carolina - he has a lead here and can win it, but he needs to put in the effort

Lastly, if he loses Wisconsin, Iowa, and Nevada, then he's better win Ohio and that one is a tossup as well.

So the bottom line is that winning the Presidency is going to be a tough slog for Romney. He has the money advantage and a big edge on the economy. But Romney has demographics and incumbency in his favor, as well as a pretty large warchest himself. So this is going to be a very fun race to watch over the coming two months.

Let the games begin!
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