This is fascinating if true:
*** Who are the undecideds? By the way, we looked at the undecideds in all three states -- collectively -- and these are voters who simply aren’t paying attention. And frankly, they don’t look like voters. Consider: A third of them are also undecided on the president’s job rating!?!! They like the president personally (more so than Romney), but they also view the direction of the country a lot WORSE than the rest of the voters. Bottom line: These folks look like DISAFFECTED voters, they seem disengaged from the campaign, and they don’t call themselves enthusiastic about the election. They are probably NOT voters.
*** Final points about our polls: There’s a massive gender gap in all three states -- the president leads by double digits among women (16 points in Ohio, 12 in Florida, and 14 in Virginia), but Romney leads by just single digits among men in all three states (two in Ohio, four in Florida and five in Virginia). Also, while Romney’s fav/unfav rating in both VA and FL is a tad better than his national fav rating, it’s dismal in OH. His UNFAVORABLE rating hits the 50% mark in Ohio. We think this is evidence that in Ohio, specifically, the Obama personal attacks on Romney’s wealth and tax returns have taken the greatest toll. That state, more than others in the battleground is more susceptible to populist arguments. |
