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Technology Stocks : Compaq

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To: ed who wrote (9863)12/1/1997 12:03:00 AM
From: Dwight E. Karlsen  Read Replies (3) of 97611
 
ed, re together with the price drop of PCs, we see the trends that all family in the world will buy pcs in the next couple years, and it is a revolutionary change.

I'm absolutely bullish on CPQ, but please, try to avoid irrational statements with no link to reality.

Reality is: PCs are still a luxury for most people, period. For a small business owner/self-employed person or telecommuter, a PC is essential, I believe. However, I know a self-employed individual who employs two or three employees, and this business owner does not have a PC. They have their accounting done by an accountant. They do have a modern word processor for non-business use: For <$250, they have a full screen monitor, which hooks into a keyboard/printer unit. Included besides word processing is a personal finance program and a couple of games. The printer prints in color, with multiple fonts types/sizes.

This is a family that could easily afford a regular PC, but they simply don't see the need. As for the majority of people in the world who have never used a PC, they haven't because they can't afford luxuries, and that simply isn't going to change anytime soon.

I do agree that the sub $1K PC will drive the US penetration rate up, maybe up to 50% or even higher. But no, I'm sorry, "all family in the world will buy pcs in the next couple years" is simply not going to happen.

DK
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