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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs

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From: LLCF10/3/2012 5:31:36 PM
  Read Replies (3) of 71588
 
Debate lowdown:

1.) The chance Obama blows himself up: <1%.
2.) The chance Romney blows himslef up: >20%
3.) Chance of an "Obama won the debate": > 50%
4.) Chance of a "Romney wond the debate": < 20%

Middle ground:

1.) Romney "wins" debate: <25%
2.) Obama "wins" debate: >40%
3.) Bounce in Romney poll numbers: same (<25%)
4.) Bounce in Obama poll numbers: >50% (versus today)
5.) more of the same with no clear advantage? ~ 30%

Romney appears clueless by whipping out some "zingers" that only wingnutz would like and look stupid: >40%
Obama does the same: ,1%.

DON"T LIKE THESE NUMBERS.... well, you're probably RIGHT... things are porbably MORE bleak for Romney... MONEY TALKS AND BS WALKS... current intrade bid for Obama:

intrade.com

Obama win: >70%
Romney win: <30%

Tha's right... at this moment Obama has a > 70% chance of wining the election according to Mr. Market... for all you WingNutz that think the polls are scewed and this is BS.... get out there and sell Obama or Buy Romney (a better buy... you can buy Romney @ about 28 to win 100 if he wins.

So for you blowhards whining about the polls... get out there and RAKE IT IN! For buffonos like "Geoff"... who predicted a big Romney win... well, put your cash where your mouth is!! Double up DUDE!!

DAK
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