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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 142.62+2.2%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: Phil M who wrote (3611)12/1/1997 11:40:00 AM
From: Michael C Quesnel  Read Replies (1) of 10921
 
Hi Phil, you said "from my novice viewpoint your
list of co's have a below avg PE in comparison
with the historical numbers."

Beware of using low PEs as a positive indicator
with cyclical companies. There is a real tendency
for their PEs to be lowest when the companies are
over-valued (when the companies are at the top of
a cycle and printing money) , and for their PEs to
be highest (even negative) when the companies are
under-valued (because they are at the bottom of a
cycle).
For example, the PEs of AMAT, KLIC, LRCX,
etc. were in or near the single digits at the end
of 1995. Look at a long time chart to see what
their stocks did.

Mike
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