It's not plausible that "The better than expected unemployment numbers from last week is not helping Obama."
Of course it helped him.
Do you really think it hurt, or are you just pessimistic?
The economy is improving, corporate tax receipts were up for the FY ended 9/30, there was a surplus for September, for only the 2nd month of the year.
The women's vote will probably determine the outcome.
Biden passed up an opportunity Thursday, but Obama may get a shot to attack Ryan and Romney for their position on life and abortion.
If push comes to shove, you have to say it. If it were put into the Constitution that citizenship begins at conception, a man could stop his girlfriend from having an abortion. If Ryan takes that position, Republicans lose votes.
A President or a Catholic Vice President may not want to put it in those terms, but if the race is close enough to need to say it, it can be presented not as government telling a woman what she can't do, but as another person, even an ex-boyfriend telling her what she can't do. It could shift any state that's still in play, moving Toss Up states to Obama.
And there's a lot more economic data that will be reported through 11/2. On average, these reports are likely to be slightly positive.
A Supreme Court decision on an Ohio case re early voting could also be important. |
