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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: Sr K who wrote (514237)	10/16/2012 11:24:23 PM
From: Glenn Petersen	2 Recommendations Read Replies (1) of 794210

The Intrade sample that you cite (in this case limited to the debate) is statistically insignificant and subject to manipulation. The CBS poll scored the debate 37% to 30% in favor of Obama. The broader Intrade index for the election has given a bump to Obama from 62.3% to 64.3%. Obama did better tonight, but it was not like the knockout scored by Romney two weeks ago. Romney whiffed on Libya tonight. He won't next week. What are the odds that Obama will unleash the drones before the next debate?

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