Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: tejek who wrote (679572)

10/18/2012 6:04:25 AM

From: puborectalis

Read Replies (4) of 1587021

Obama's odds of winning re-election have climbed back to 65%-70% since the second debate, according to three sources we're tracking:

Nate Silver's aggregate poll forecastIntrade's prediction marketBetfair's prediction marketFirst, Nate Silver of the New York Times now gives Obama 66% chance of reelection. That's up from a post-first-debate low of ~60% a few days ago. And Silver says the impact of Obama's strong performance in the second debate hasn't yet factored into the polls he looks at.

Nate Silver, New York Times

On Intrade, meanwhile, Obama's odds have climbed back to 65% from a post-debate low in the high 50s.

Intrade

And, on Betfair, Obama's odds have climbed back to nearly 70%.

Betfair

Obama's odds of winning have fallen sharply from their peaks before the first debate, but the longer term trend actually continues to climb. On both prediction markets, Obama's "stock" is now considerably higher than it was after the conventions in August.

These "odds," it's worth noting, contrast sharply with the nationwide Gallup poll of likely voters, which shows Romney with a very impressive 6-point lead.

Read more: businessinsider.com

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next