You do understand that one region of the country, the South, is +20 for Romney while the other 3 regions are for Obama. Because of that severe imbalance in the country, its possible that Obama could lose the popular vote while winning the EC. It is possible for Obama to lose popular vote but win EC.
But it would have to be very small margin in popular vote. If Romney's margin in winning of popular vote is 2% or higher, a whole bunch of states where Obama has a small lead would start falling (OH, NV, IA, WI, MI, PA, MN).
Then you would have to ask yourself why that would that happen in the last two weeks when it hasn't been true for most of the year. As I pointed out up above, Romney has a surplus of votes in the states he already owns. There are few undecideds. Obama's support is very solid. From where do you see the votes coming to cause an increase in his margin of popular votes?
My take............Obama has recaptured the momentum, the R gaffes have started back up and Rs are becoming disillusioned which will lead to a suppression of R votes. I think what undecideds do still exist will break for Obama. |
