President Barack Obama Message Board

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Politics : President Barack Obama

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To: Joe NYC who wrote (125560)	10/28/2012 11:45:17 PM
From: tejek	Read Replies (1) of 149317

It is trully a desperation time at PPP(D). Here are some internals and comparison to Florida exit polls in 2004 and 2008: Party Registration: 2004: R+4 2008: D+3 PPP: D+5 By Race: White 2004: 70% 2008: 71% PPP: 64% Cook report has Florida as R+2 PVI. PPP has it as D+5%. So it took it took a lie on magnitude of 7% to get 1% lead for Obama. Which is why I say this is desperation time at PPP... Throwing a bone to the demoralized Dems... With the last 7 polls reported by RCP, Romney's margin of victory is only 1.5%. If you throw out the Sunshine State poll which looks like an outlier, its even worse. That means the PPP poll is well within the MoE. So that means the cross tabs for all these polls except for the SS poll are messed up, or you don't have an argument. Which is it.......I'll leave it to you to decide. realclearpolitics.com Decoding the skewed sampling, Romney is really up 4 to 6% in Florida... Based on the polls listed at RCP, that is very likely a Republican fantasy. Sorry.

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