President Barack Obama Message Board

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Politics : President Barack Obama

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To: Joe NYC who wrote (125572)	10/29/2012 12:40:00 AM
From: tejek	Read Replies (1) of 149317

There are a lot of polls that are oversampling Democrats (vs. reasonable expectations). I am just pointing out complete outliers, where the sample is substantially more favorable to Dems that 2008 exit polls. Except the PPP is not an outlier.......its well within the MoE. BTW blaming the polls for their conclusions suggests your side is losing. I don't think anyone expects Dems to do anywhere close to 2008. For number of reasons: Dem candidate (Obama 2012) is far worse that Obama 2008. GOP candidate Romney is far better than McCain. That is your opinion. Its anecdotal and therefore meaningless. Economy in 2008 was horrible, GOP was to blame based on the conventional wisdom. Economy in 2012 is poor, but Dems are to blame this time. The economy is getting better and is better than 2008. That is what people are seeing. So any sample more favorable to Dems that 2008 exit polls is just a pure fantasy, in no way connected to reality... PS: I just found exit poll from Florida in 2010. One notable item (in addition to tie by party ID): By race, Whites 2010: 74% PPP: 64% We'll see.................

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