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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (206253)10/29/2012 6:02:34 PM
From: Sam  Read Replies (1) of 541695
 
Sorry, Wrong Numbers: Why The Polls Don’t See Obama’s Winning Margin
October 29th, 2012
written by: Stan Greenberg


I’ve seen tracking polls saying that Mitt Romney is either tied or leading in the presidential race, but we think that they are simply wrong. It’s not a conspiracy theory; those other polls are just simply missing a critical segment of President Obama’s coalition: cell phone users. Failing to survey those who don’t have land-lines — who tend to support the president by a significant margin — those polls are blind to the fact that Obama is on track to win re-election on November 6. For our complete Democracy Corps memo on the importance of cell-phone polling in this election — with graphs — please click here.

nationalmemo.com

We'll see who is right next week.


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