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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: bentway who wrote (683632)	11/7/2012 1:48:54 PM
From: i-node	Read Replies (2) of 1573980

>> NATE SILVER NAILED IT, WHILE RUSH, NOONAN WERE WAY OFF I wanted to Silver to crash and burn, and there is always next time. As Nate Silver himself said last week, "If I'm right I'll get way too much credit, and if I'm wrong, I'll get way too much blame." There is no way to confirm that he "nailed it" -- after all, the election was about a 50/50 shot from the outset. Were the odds of Obama winning 90% two days ago? Who the hell knows. All we know, statistically, is that Silver predicted he would win a 50/50 shot and he did. His winning prognostication neither proves nor disproves anything. But he'll be the media's golden boy until he blows it. The Joe Granville of politics.

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