Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives

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To: Keith Feral who wrote (41030)	11/30/2012 2:03:43 PM
From: Joseph Silent	Read Replies (1) of 223035

It's odd you should say that because I was thinking of this all morning. Ideally, a market would exhibit maximum entropy in the sense that at any given moment in time, in any time scale, the probability of the next price level (given the current) being higher or lower should be exactly one-half. When uncertainty increases and/or when trading granularity gets smaller intuition suggests we should see more of this behavior. In an ideal market. Unfortunately, markets are not ideal. Every kind of manipulation you can imagine is in progress while you watch. The two simplest and possibly most likely, based on human nature, are control (someone sets off a domino string) and manipulation (someone sets off a news string). Someone is always trying to be that someone. Who knows how often someone is successful? :)

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