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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: Jon Koplik who wrote (13443)12/12/2012 12:52:47 AM
From: John Pitera2 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) of 33421
 
Hi Jon..... truly excellent and concise video analysis of global age demographic trends. as of 2010, and showing Japanese window closing in 1995 ours potentially closing in 2015 .... and China's going out to 2030 and India all the way out to 2050.

Now we have a plethora of variables that may and some WILL impact the future........ and for you oddsmakers the good word is that ..... there are going to be a number of statstically "outlier" events that will transpire as we head forward. To Mix metaphor's with poghue post on the Texans not being ready for prime time , "that's why they play the games.... on any given sunday.. any team can win

We have an unknown future both in the US and Globally going forward. What low grade wars both civil and cross boarder will turn out to see nuclear weapons used. Climate events that have occurred regularly in the past are now a big deal due to the increasing planetary population and the information age which lets an average consumer of information know off compared to 10 years ago....... a shocking and mind numbing difference of the dissemination of info on global carnage compared to 1975 and especially going back to 1950,

Who among us could imagine World War II occurring in our current information age......and I mean from the perspecive of a 24 news hours showing the global carnage.... day after day for year after year......... if we simply repeated WWII today...... there would be millions upon millions saying that the days of Tribulation were here.

and since the information was not disseminated the way it is today...... People bought war bonds, Hollyywood came out with a multitude of Patriotic themed movies that gave us courage. It gave us our Greatest generation" and American being a country with 2 vast oceans giving us a fabulous buffer zone..... it set us up for 2 generations of American economic expansion and made the USA the key currency. Although the Russians reallly were geared up for thermonuclear war..... and we barely escaped it on several occasions in JFK's administration.cou

I have spent a lot of time reading, thinking and watching video's on every president of this century..... Not much on Calvin Collidge....

I suppose the reason I am talking about history tonight is that Samuel Clemments commented that history repeats only that it rhymes and also it was in vogue in the late 1990's to talk about years that were so called "analogues" of years in the past and could serve as guide posts.

Back to the outlier events. For those who can get their hands, or their kindles etc on "This time is different" 8 centuries of Financial Folly by Reinhart and Rogoff. will never view the world the same again.

They do such a supreme job of describing and chronicalling the varieties of crises and their dates and give so much explaination as well as pages of statistics of how many times a given country has had a hyperinflation and the dates, financial crisis, stock collapses.

in summation, it's the unexpected events going forward that will, because they are unexpected and come " out of left field" will impact our lives, our jobs, our investments and our quality of life..

I suspect that this is not a "breaking news" flash for many of the readers here.

to close I would like to point out that the FED's balance sheet has now expanded out to 4 Trillion dollars a year and a half after it was 2.7 Trillion dollars and they going to cut it by 1 Trillion dollars"

John
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