I like your analysis, it helps. Year after year, summer ends with autumn and winter coming; winter ends with spring and summer coming. Your analysis tells us this fact. Lots of analysts predicts at summer time by telling people that the whether will be hotter and hotter, winter will never come; at winter time by telling people that the whether will be colder and colder, summer will never come. Same thing in economics; when economics is strong, they tell you that it will get stronger and stronger, when it is in weak stage, they tell you that it will get weaker and weaker. What they don't tell you is that after night, day time will come, after day time, night will come. Same thing in the industry, Once it grows at 25% a year, they will tell you that it will continue to grow at that rate. When it slows for a short time, they will tell you that it will stop growing.
Now, some companies are dumping their products as to cause cooling down of some hot business. Some analysts are predicting that the business will go down forever, while in fact that good times are just beginning to come. Christmas is coming, semi-conductor business will be booming again. |