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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 292.04+2.4%Dec 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: Jerome who wrote (58664)1/3/2013 2:00:06 PM
From: Jacob Snyder1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 95611
 
< look at any chart with any parameters and KLIC is in a breakout pattern>

On a short-term (since the 2008 lows) chart, yes. But long-term patterns trump short-term patterns.

I'm looking at the 10-year chart. KLIC has, for almost all that time, been in a $5-12 horizontal channel. No move above $12 has ever been sustained for more than a few months. Every move over $12 has been followed by at least a 40% downturn.

Of course, choose the correct time frame, and it is possible to make money with KLIC either long or short. I could be wrong for a few weeks, maybe a few more months. But then I'll be right.

disclosure: long AMAT (bought only at $10), short KLIC.
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