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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 398.57-0.2%Dec 18 4:00 PM EST

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To: arun gera who wrote (97567)1/8/2013 11:59:33 PM
From: Maurice Winn1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) of 218587
 
Arun, they are not my fears. Islamic Jihad is far from NZ. It's up close and personal in and around India. Islamic Jihad is nuclear-armed right next door to India. Just the other day, an Indian soldier was killed. You surely remember the close-to-war situations between India and Pakistan. Maybe you think gentlemen rules of war will apply but when push comes to shove, the reason atomic bombs are actually built is not just for display purposes, or they wouldn't need to have triggers, just look real.

There has already been a war with atomic bombs and the USA won it. It's unlikely to be the last. The next one is most likely to be between Pakistan and India [I guess].

Don't project your free psychoanalysis via the internet, even though unpaid. <Don't project your fears onto India. Islamic jihad is a trivial part of indian existence. > What is it with Americans and their obsession with psychobabble?

The reason both India and Pakistan have built atomic bombs is because they think they might have to use them. Who do you think they each think they might have to use them against? Making atomic bombs for a trivial issue is quite an action to take, suggesting it's perhaps not all that trivial [in their minds].

Regarding your worry about being killed in a car crash as a bigger risk than Islamic Jihad in India. <India has an estimated 130,000 per year fatalities from cars > After 100 years, that would be 13 million people. That's historical risk, no doubt including falling off tuk-tuks and motor scooters.

If India and Pakistan have a nuclear war, I can imagine a lot more than 13 million people dying in the conflict. Or even if the war is NOT nuclear. It's surprising that you worry more about vehicular accidents than war with Pakistan given the propensity for attacks from Pakistan on India [and the Islamic violence within India]. The chance of war with Pakistan within 100 years seems good. Keep in mind too, that most vehicular deaths are self-inflicted, about 7 out of 10, so it's not a random risk. Of the other 3, there is often contributory error though the primary blunder was by the other party. So people can lower their personal risk by being good drivers.

If the risk from Pakistan is so low, India might as well just decommission their nukes. Or maybe India is worried about China. Probably not Nepal. Definitely not worried about being attacked by NZ with hundreds of Kiwis disguised as sheep.

Mqurice
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