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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives

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Jan 8 4:00 PM EST

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From: expiredoptions	1/30/2013 9:17:12 AM
	of 221510

My trading program is showing signs of directional fatigue and the 2 best systems (S2 & S6) no longer want to play (no signal). S1 the trend following system is up to a 10 counter (10C-10) for calls. Under normal circumstances that is "trend ending" but this market doesn't fall in the category of normal circumstances. The record is a 28 count for calls which occurred from March 12, 2009 to May 8, 2009. S2 none S3 is saying calls. S4 is saying calls. S5 is dissenting and saying puts. That's kind of funny because S5 is the only directionally biased (calls) system of the entire group! S6 none Date....Option......Prev.Open.High.Low.Close 01-29 FEB149C 2.21 2.03 2.74 1.91 2.73 2013..FEB152P 2.61 2.80 2.81 2.00 2.00 Chg to FEB150C 1.57 1.40 2.00 1.32 2.00 S1: UC=10 UP=0 10C-10......................................................................FEB150C B1=1.60 B2=1.30 S2: C=16-0-35 P=10-25-0......................................................................None S3: EM=35 LM=43 D=LM-8 R=1 S=78 4C C=MO5..........................FEB150C C10=1.80 C25=1.50 S4: C=69-57-51=L1 P=26-44-35=L3 A1W3=S/W-SC-6 5/5 (100%)....FEB150C 1.60 S5: C=43 EM=35 +++ P=18 EM=0 --- R=2.4 SL1=P..........................FEB152P 1.45 S6: C32 C6 C35 CL4=No Trade CM25=L1............................................None Reliability ratings: S1: 62% (since 1996) S2: 66% (since 2000) S3: 64% (since 2002) S4: 62% (since 2003) S5: 66% (since 2005) S6: 70-75% (since 2007) Jeff

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