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Politics : View from the Center and Left
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To: Bread Upon The Water who wrote (216842)2/13/2013 5:25:31 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) of 541627
 
2037 is only 24 years from now, not 35. If you look back 24 years and consider what was available then and compare it with now, and look at the rate of change over the last 50 years, from when transistors first got going, and there's acceleration in all aspects, then the next 24 years is going to see some major improvements.

24 years ago, there were CDs and a 286 computer was a pretty good thing to have, though the 386 was fairly common. Since then, Google has stacked up a stupendously huge amount of information which is growing faster than the USA national debt. The internet of things is not science fiction. There is fibre being strung everywhere. LTE and wifi ofdm systems are enabling wireless access everywhere, with Globalstar now having launched their final half dozen satellites. Memory banks are installed. The connections are being laid. Transducers are being installed. Algorithms being written. Self-learning processes are under way.

Ted Kaczynski didn't think we should let it come.
<Wow--35 years out is really close for what we are talking about (machines with independent super intelligence) IMHO.

I do see it coming also, but think it is a Millenium or so a way with the same qualifiers you have.

But now the main point for decision some time in the future is whether we, as humans, should let it come. > "We" can do as much about it coming as chimps could do about humans taking over the world. What are we going to do? Throw stones at it? Tell it we don't want to be paid and we quite like being hungry? "We" are not unified. Hordes of us want it to come and are working assiduously to ensure it does.

Mqurice
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