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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs

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To: ahhaha who wrote (22807)4/4/2013 11:43:43 AM
From: sixty2ndsRead Replies (1) of 24758
 
<<<When does the fusion era begin???

First fire, 2025. First operating reactor, 2030. Multiple reactors in place by 2035 when the first one supplies all of Japan's electrical need.


Y'all have lost lost a lug nut.
Who? If you'll remember, I'm a physicist.>>>

Y'all refers to current investors in Electric vehicles.
All of the current investors.
I remember you are a Physicist...one of the BEST.
I accept your vision of the fusion era.

<<<What has changed about electric cars since last discussed? Nothing.

Not much.
They were viable 100 years ago, but scale production of gasoline at much lower cost killed them off. >>>

Lower cost(s) will kill them off again.

<<<Fusion kills fossil.>>>

I believe you.

<<<They aren't economic now, but breakeven isn't very far away.>>>

How can you say BE isn't very far away?
If you refer to time...2-3 decades is not all that far away.
If you refer to munee...Estimates of current subsidies of EV range from $10,000-$30,000 per vehicle....
plus the tax breaks.

<<<It isn't critical for the EV industry to substantially precede cheap electricity.>>>

Agreed....

I argue battery technology continues to face challenges similar to those in solar energy.
At the end of the day the advancements are not happening fast enough to drive costs down fast enough.
The competition to EV is not sleeping.

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