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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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To: robert b furman who wrote (14034)4/17/2013 4:17:42 AM
From: John Pitera1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 33421
 
Hi Bob here is a corellation chart with the SPX and I think it's the spread between the 2 and 10 year curve... the fact that I am equivocating.... shows how complex you can buito charts and trading systems.... Plus I was told to be in bed 90 minutes ago................

so we have seen many periods of positive correlation..... and periods of non correlation.......... As you notice we are at a multi year extreme of negative correlation...... and the most obvious take away (IMO) is that the US equity market is getting ready to get spanked like crazy and US equity prices are going to go down by a really big percentage and I would not put it past the market to crash back to 666 SPX............the counterbalance influence that would mean we only have a30% decline would be the massive monetary stimulus that supports real assets ...... including stock...... I think I looked up INTC's dividend and it's 4.6%

if the stock goes down........(pooor earnings results ) and the yield goes up.

John
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