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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu
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To: caly who wrote (4200)4/20/2013 6:50:14 PM
From: Maurice Winn2 Recommendations  Read Replies (1) of 4232
 
Since not all people infected are counted in the number of cases, we can guess that perhaps half are infected but are not identified [near enough for government work]. So the mortality rate is something like 10%.

That's a nasty result but much better than the 70% of the H5N1 variety which never got going.

Sars, H5N1, H7N9 all coming out of China. Nothing coming out of Africa. Ebola and the hordes of other diseases never seem to make it off the continent - other than AIDS which was never going to go critical as its vectors for transmission were too flimsy. When men stopped injecting AIDS virus directly into their blood and other men's anuses [and their sometimes female partners] it fizzled out. Heterosexual males had almost zero risk from HIV.

Perhaps those flu type diseases propagate and breed well in crowded China with lots of shared food and other communal contact with birds, pigs and whatnot in close proximity. Perhaps China should adopt Japan's culture or the USA's to minimize the risk of 70% mortality - which would be the world's biggest ever cataclysmic catastrophe if half of China died = 600 million people. China seems to be brewing up for something big which one day will recombine with a virulent flu and race around the world. The Greenhouse Effect and sea level rising 30 centimetres in 30 years would not be rated as of much consequence, especially if a hefty bolide splashes down in the Pacific Ocean next week and sea level rises 30 metres in 3 seconds around the Pacific rim.

Mqurice
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