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Strategies & Market Trends : Ask DrBob

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From: FLACK4/26/2013 10:14:09 AM
1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 100058
 
Top ‘o the market to you

This is looking more and more like a market top.
I’m not saying that it is a top; I’m saying that it LOOKS like a top.

A multi-month or multi-year high is achieved.
The market spasms – daily gains and loses that are out of normal ranges:
S&P 500 index gains 13 points, gains 16 points, 19 points, and 22 points.
The down days are – minus 10, minus 22, and minus 36.
With only 3 more trading days in the month, the SPY has gained less than
two points.


The next ”look” would be a lower high.
SPY reached a closing high of 159.19 on April 11th and then fell to touch its 50-day simple moving average.
This was followed by five up days.
A lower high would happen if the price fails to rise above the previous high
(159.19) and then falls again – a declining stair step.
The battleground will again be the 50-day simple moving average.

The bulls will generally buy at this level and the bears will wait to see if
bulls succeed in bouncing the price back above the 50-day.
The action to watch is the stair step.

This is much easier to explain in person and difficult to explain in a post.
But you get the general idea.
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